Sunday Service Play Thread 10/03/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[BIGTEX5]

Las Vegas Chris/Vegas Synergy
E - Arizona

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 3 2021 1:00PM
263 NYG +8.0 (-110)Circa Sports vs 264 NOS double-dime bet

Analysis: I am betting this with the assumption that the Giants will not have Darius Slayton or Sterling Shepard for this game. Yes, I am concerned about the Giants offense in this one but the Giants still do have some serviceable weapons (Barkley, Golladay, Engram).


This is more of a fade of the Saints, who absolutely can not be laying this amount of points to a team not named the Jags, Texans, Jets, or Lions.


The Saints offense ranks 29th in 20+ yard plays and 29th in yards per passing play. Jameis Winston has not thrown for more than 148 yards in any of his three games this season. This is a run first, defensively led football team that has a very thin margin of error when they are required to win by margin.


The Saints have injury issues of their own. We are all aware that they have arguably the leagues worst wide receivers/tight ends due to the Michael Thomas injury, but they are also without star LT Terron Armstead and C Eric McCoy. Defensively, they are still without DE Marcus Davenport and DT David Onyemata.


The Giants have been profitable as an away underdog under Joe Judge, going 7-1 ATS in that role.

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Sides - Monday, Oct 4 2021 8:15PM
280 LAC -3.0 (-110)Bookmaker vs 279 LVR double-dime bet

Analysis: Another sharp group released this 3 minutes after we did and blew the market up. I’d wait to bet this if you missed the 3. I think there’s a decent chance the line goes back down to 3 -120 or so

​

 

[Jk1989]

Las Vegas Chris/Vegas Synergy
E - Arizona

Also has
D% Carolina panthers +5

 

[BuzzKill]

SportsLine Projection Model

Falcons 25, Washington 23
Bills 36, Texans 18
Chiefs 29, Eagles 21
Browns 26, Vikings 24
Titans 29, Jets 15
Saints 26, Giants 17
Bears 25, Lions 17
Colts 23, Dolphins 20
Cowboys 27, Panthers 22
Rams 26, Cardinals 19
Seahawks 25, 49ers 24
Packers 26, Steelers 18
Ravens 23, Broncos 22
Buccaneers 27, Patriots 24

 

[LENBO]

Las Vegas Chris/Vegas Synergy
E - Arizona

Some one (or group) hit this pretty hard yesterday .

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 3 2021 1:00PM
256 NYJ +8.0 (-110)Southpoint vs 255 TEN double-dime bet

Analysis: Similiar to my feelings on the Saints, the Titans are just not a team you want laying this type of points, especially when considering the injuries the Titans are dealing with at wide receiver.


The Titans have as little depth as anyone at pass catcher, and they will likely be without star WR A.J. Brown this week, and could also be WR Julio Jones. The one area of defense the Jets have recently been strong in is their rush defense, and this year has been no different, as they are allowing only 3.8 YPC after allowing only 4.0 YPC last season.


Zach Wilson looked good in the preseason, but obviously has looked awful this season so far. A lot of that can be attributed to the Jets porous offensive line going against three of the better pass rushes in the league and exposing Wilson's inability to handle pressure. The Titans pass rush and defense is by far the worst unit that Wilson will play against YTD.

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Sunday, Oct 3 2021 1:00PM
KC/SEA

(-120)Westgate 265 KAN vs 266 PHI triple-dime bet

Analysis: 3* 6 PT TEASER: Chiefs -1/Seahawks +9 -120 (Consensus)


Obviously a great spot for KC, and the Eagles offensive line is starting to crumble with 3 starters out due to injury and the remaining 2 starters being limited in practice on Wednesday. Not much needs to be said about the KC side. This is still the AFC'S best team, in a max effort and focus spot, against a team that will likely be picking in the top ten this season who's dealing with cluster injuries.


We also have the Seahawks in a similar huge spot that we find KC in, and the big edge that we should have with Seattle is Russell Wilson, who's on pace for career highs in most major categories and currently leads the NFL in yards per attempt. San Fran has had problems with mobile quarterbacks who can evade their pass rush and pick on their secondary in the past. San Francisco's secondary will be tasked with covering D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett without their top corners Jason Verett, Josh Norman, and K'Wuan Williams due to injury.

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 3 2021 1:00PM
Gesicki O2.5

(-120)William Hill 259 IND vs 260 MIA single-dime bet

Analysis: Mike Gesicki (MIA) O2.5 receptions -120 (DK/Caesars)

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 3 2021 1:00PM
Swift O83.5

(-115)William Hill 253 DET vs 254 CHI single-dime bet

Analysis: D'Andre Swift (DET) O83.5 Total Yds -115 (DK/Caesars)

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 3 2021 1:00PM
Robby O44.5

(-110)William Hill 261 CAR vs 262 DAL single-dime bet

Analysis: Robby Anderson (CAR) O44.5 Rec Yds -110 (DK/Caesars)

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Oct 3 2021 1:00PM
Singletary U

(-110)William Hill 267 HOU vs 268 BUF single-dime bet

Analysis: Devin Singletary (BUF) U10.5 Rec Yds -110 (DK/Caesars)

​

 

[BobbyBingo]

GIANNI THE GREEK

D*Cardinals (NFL)

 

[BobbyBingo]

GOODFELLA

C*Total of Year Cardinals/Rams Over 55

 

[ryangenero]

Football jesus free pick vikings

 

[BuzzKill]

Docs

f-lions+3
d-chargers-3
c-rams-4
b-patriots+7
b-panthers+4.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Jason Sharpe

f-denv-1
d-panthers+4.5
c-giants+7.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Allen East man

g-vegas+3.5-411
f-browns-2-411
d-tbay-6.5
d-tenn-7
d-ariz+4.5
c-colts+2
c-denv-1

 

[BuzzKill]

Doug Upstone

f-balt+1
d-rams-4
c-lions+3
b-teaser
car+10.5
seatt+9

 

[BuzzKill]

Vegas Sports Insiders (VSI)

f-chargers-3
c-panthers+4.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Marc Lawrence's WHITE HOT NFL PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB PLAY

Carolina Panthers

 

[Yankees5560]

HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 3 2021 1:00PM
254 CHI -2.5 (-115)Pinnacle vs 253 DET double-dime bet

Analysis: There's no doubt about it, the Bears offensive performance was arguably the most putrid games we have seen in years. However, this is a massive over reaction to assume that the Lions and Bears are close to equal teams at the moment.


Just last week, the look ahead on this line was Chicago -6. Just two weeks ago, the Cincinnati Bengals were getting the same amount of points in Chicago, a game that the Bears won by 3 and were up 17 at one point in the fourth quarter. The Bears pre season win expectation was 3 wins higher than Detroit, and Chicago.


Detroit is still the bottom tier team they were projected to be before the season, if not worse after losing both their starting corners, their top wide receiver, and left tackle to injury.